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Most blame foreigners for high home prices in Vancouver

Perception may be trumping reality in the city’s waning market
Vancouver house values have barely budged over the past few months, but most blame foreign buyers for current high prices | Photo: Paul McGrath, North Shore News

B.C. has the highest foreign-home buyer tax in the world and the number of “transnational” buyers is waning, but the majority of Metro Vancouver residents still see foreigners as the biggest driver of high home prices.

Sixty-eight per cent of Metro Vancouverites believe “foreign investors have a lot of influence in driving up home prices” – the highest such perception in Canada – according to survey released this week by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC).

That belief may be more perception than reality.

A new Statistics Canada transnational buyer study, also released this week, confirmed that foreigners own just 4.8% of Metro Vancouver homes, with the highest ratios in the cities of Vancouver at 7.6% and Richmond, at 7.5%. A Metro anomaly is the University of B.C. Endowment Lands, where StatsCan says 14% of homes are foreign-owned.

In B.C., the highest foreign ownership is at Sun Peaks, the Kamloops-area ski resort community, at 17%, followed by Whistler at 16% and Tofino, at 7.5%, Statistics Canada found., China’s largest portal for foreign real estate, noted this week that parts of B.C., including Metro Vancouver, have the highest foreign-home buyer tax in the world. Raised in February to 20% of a home’s value, the B.C. tax is nearly three times higher than second-place Australia, where foreign buyers are dinged 7% on their purchases, which are restricted to new homes, not resales. adds that fewer Chinese investors – who make up the bulk of B.C.’s foreign buyers – are even looking at Canadian real estate since the introduction of higher taxes in B.C. and Ontario, where the tax is 15%.

“Chinese buyer demand in Vancouver is flat as a pancake. Vancouver’s tax is working by driving a share of buyers to other cities, especially Seattle. It has taken the froth off of the top,” said vice-president Byron Burley.

One sector of stronger foreign buyer interest is in Metro Vancouver’s pre-sale condo market, according to CMHC.

Since 2016, the share of new condominiums pre-sold to foreign buyers has reached 19% in Vancouver and accounts for 24% of all pre-sale buyers in Richmond and 23% in Coquitlam, said Eric Bond, a market analysis principal with the federal housing agency.

In the three months since the foreign buyer tax was increased to 20%, the benchmark price of a Metro Vancouver detached has increased just 0.4% while overall home sales have fallen 35.1% when compared with the same period a year earlier, according to May data from the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver.